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Arcanis Capital
1999 - 2026
Systematic Strategies for Venture Investing
Our engine continuously tracks 34,000+ growth and late-stage private companies across all available public and private data: financial disclosures, primary and secondary round histories, sector and peer comparables, regulatory filings, and company-specific signals. Every company is updated as new data arrives, and every history is preserved. This is not a search universe queried opportunistically; it is a continuously maintained dataset, the analytical surface on which every investment decision is built.
The engine identifies where probability-weighted upside materially exceeds the priced downside and where that asymmetry is defensible, not assumed. Multiple scenarios capture all material risks and upside factors, reflected in a calibrated DCF. The same methodology framework applies to all companies, with a full decision log behind each number. Our proprietary framework disciplines AI to produce repeatable outputs, analysts can override any input, with adjustments logged and attributed.
Systematic Risk Management
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Discovery & Pre-Selection
Key Advantages
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Research & Selection
From raw data to IC-ready insights in 6 steps
AI-powered tracking of 34,000+ global companies
Proprietary data infrastructure continuously monitors the market, identifying opportunities beyond traditional sourcing channels.
Companies are ranked using consistent, data-driven metrics, narrowing the universe to a focused set of high-potential opportunities.
After Objective scoring and systematic filtering
AI-assisted evaluation with human validation across value potential and 30+ risk factors
Final selection based on portfolio fit and risk-adjusted return analysis
Quarterly Selected Best Company
[ Automated ]
Quarterly top
20 companies
[ Automated ]
Quarterly top 20 companies
[ Semi-automated ]
with human-in-the-loop
Quarterly finalist
of 20 companies
[ Semi-automated ]
with human-in-the-loop
Quarterly finalist of 20 companies
An AI-powered engine running on encoded methodology, not freeform reasoning. Every decision chain is inspectable, every output reproducible. Human analysts set the framework, validate the baselines, and sign off on every price. The same inputs always produce the same outputs by design, not by chance. AI handles the scale at every step; humans own the judgement at every decision.
Encoded methodology, not LLM agents, the same inputs always produce the same outputs. Human-verified baselines with fully customisable orthogonal scenarios and configurable weights. Hundreds of company signals collapsed into a small set of distinct future paths, with expert overlays and scenario-based price ranges built for real deal decisions. Every output is inspectable, traceable, and ready to present.
Most secondary capital arrives last to positions already widely owned, paying par for crowded exposure. Arcanis computes the full IRR probability distribution across orthogonal scenarios for every selected company — identifying companies with the highest asymmetric risk/reward. We allocate where the upside probability is highest and the downside band is tightest. The market is not yet measuring this. We are.
Every number an investor sees can be traced to its source, re-derived, and challenged. Inputs are fully documented, assumptions explicitly flagged, every analyst adjustment logged and attributed. Our proprietary framework keeps AI outputs consistent and reproducible. Every position comes with a complete decision log: traceable inputs, documented assumptions, and an audit trail ready for any IC or LP review.
Arcanis Capital Systematic Strategy vs S&P 500 vs Stableton Unicorn 20 Reference Index
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Tracking Portfolio Growth Across Key Indexes and Our Proprietary Strategy
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Arcanis Revenue Growth Top 20
×5.00 CoC
Stableton Unicorn 20
×2.42 CoC
S&P 500
×1.85 CoC
Schedule a walkthrough of the methodology, a review of the current conviction positions, or a discussion of partnership structures for institutional LPs.
Next step
Request the full deep research memo (~30 pages, NDA), the live secondary order book, and a 30-minute call with the investment team.
Cheilonos, 2A The Riverside Forum, 2nd floor, 1101 Nicosia, Cyprus
